Daegu 1-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.48
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.79
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.19/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.51
-89% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 386
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.07.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
20.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
22.04.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 385
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Daegu had 48% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 52%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Daegu and 0.40 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Daegu 1-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daegu 41%, draw 28%, Daejeon Citizen 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daegu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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