Gwangju 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.15
X/2
16%
6.24
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
4.29
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.62/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.70
-64% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.0 Crosses 19.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
27.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
22.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
24.10.2021 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 0-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
52% Ball Possession 48%
2 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
298 Passes 434
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Suwon City 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gwangju as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gwangju had 52% of the ball to Suwon City's 48%, shots finished 2-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gwangju and 0.67 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Suwon City?

Gwangju 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 41%, draw 26%, Suwon City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ BTTS Yes
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