Incheon United 0-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 35% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.96
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.59
X/2
20%
4.77
X/X
11%
4.08
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.13
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.03/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.72
-17% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.50 xG 0.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 513
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 14
5 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
10.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
22.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
07.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
25.02.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
27.08.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY FC Seoul
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
377 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul edged past Incheon United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day FC Seoul made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 55% of the ball to FC Seoul's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Incheon United and 0.83 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs FC Seoul?

Incheon United 0-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 31%, draw 29%, FC Seoul 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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