Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.82
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.53
X/2
16%
5.51
X/X
7%
4.28
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.8
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 39%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.82
+39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
9.0 Crosses 14.4
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daegu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
02.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.07.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
20.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
22.04.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-0
AWAY Daegu
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
269 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Daegu 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 44% of the ball to Daegu's 56%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 24%, Daegu 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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