Incheon United 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.68
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
11%
13.8
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
9%
3.91
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.65/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.62
-49% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +79%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gwangju
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
25.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
28.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.08.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
20.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
217 Passes 531
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Incheon United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 33% of the ball to Gwangju's 67%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gwangju?

Incheon United 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 34%, draw 28%, Gwangju 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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