Jeju United 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
11%
7.15
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
17%
4.92
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
2.86
2/X
8%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.41/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.94
+22% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 19.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
03.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
03.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
01.07.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
23.04.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
16.10.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 13
187 Passes 569
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 28% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 72%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Jeju United 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 34%, draw 30%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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