ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.15/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.26
+12% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.2 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Goa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 330
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.02.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 0-1 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
28.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
15.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-0
AWAY FC Goa
0.42 xG 0.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
234 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan beat FC Goa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 40% of the ball to FC Goa's 60%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.42 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.67 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 49%, draw 25%, FC Goa 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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