SV Spakenburg 3-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.05/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.89
+62% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 156
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
27.01.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
18.03.2017 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
3-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg beat Koninklijke HFC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 50% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 50%, shots finished 18-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.00 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

SV Spakenburg 3-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 48%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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