Noordwijk 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.73
No
61%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
54%
-14.9pp
61%
BTTS No
46%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 24%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.04/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.76
-45% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 1-1 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
03.02.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 1-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk and Excelsior Maassluis couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Noordwijk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Excelsior Maassluis led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Noordwijk and 1.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Noordwijk 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 50%, draw 26%, Excelsior Maassluis 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Noordwijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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