Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-2 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 8 Mar 2025

Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2-2 HT 0-0
Nojima Stella (K)
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.28
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 73% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
74%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) v Nojima Stella (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.01/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.19
+30% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-2 Nojima Stella (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2-2
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and Nojima Stella (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 61% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 39%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 0.67 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-2 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 73%, draw 17%, Nojima Stella (K) 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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