Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+9.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-12.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.41
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +71%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
214 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 8
18.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) edged past Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 43% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 2.50 for Tokyo Verdy B. (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 15%, draw 18%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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