Al Arabi 1-0 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.51
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.8pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.07
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
18.1 Crosses 16.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
417 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
19.10.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 5-2 HT 4-2 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
20.12.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
16.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
15.02.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
20.09.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Shamal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Arabi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Arabi and 1.00 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Shamal?

Al Arabi 1-0 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 38%, draw 24%, Al Shamal 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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