Al Arabi 3-0 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.16 — our 28% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
10%
5.48
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
13%
5.77
2/1
7%
23.35
2/2
15%
3.88
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.8pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 37%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.53/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.59
-30% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 12.0
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
420 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 5-2 HT 4-2 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
20.12.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
16.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
15.02.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
20.09.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
24.08.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi swept aside Al Shamal 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Al Arabi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Arabi and 1.00 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Shamal?

Al Arabi 3-0 Al Shamal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 39%, draw 28%, Al Shamal 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KATYK More Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup
16 Nov 2024
19:30 Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan Analysis →