Umm Salal 2-0 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 16 Nov 2024

Umm Salal
2-0 HT 1-0
Al Rayyan
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2024/2025

Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.13
1/2
6%
22.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.7
X/2
9%
5.22
X/X
9%
5.9
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · X/1 at 6.7 — our 17% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
33%
+9.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umm Salal v Al Rayyan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 48%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.42/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.52
+50% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
12.4 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 2.87
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 438
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
02.03.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
30.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
04.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT

Umm Salal 2-0 Al Rayyan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
2-0
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.95 xG 0.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
279 Passes 460
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal saw off Al Rayyan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Umm Salal had 39% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 61%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Umm Salal and 1.67 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?

Umm Salal 2-0 Al Rayyan in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 43%, draw 22%, Al Rayyan 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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