Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.05
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.1 Crosses 17.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
28.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
22.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.02.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.01.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.64 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
385 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Aguilas Doradas 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 59% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 41%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.64 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aguilas Doradas.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 38%, draw 31%, Atletico Bucaramanga 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
8 Mar 2025
22:00 Deportivo Pereira vs Envigado Analysis →