Aguilas Doradas 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.36
Over 2.5
44%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
70%
-13.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
30%
+13.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.23
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
17.1 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.78 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
22.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.02.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.01.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.09.2021 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-3
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
254 Passes 201
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga beat Aguilas Doradas 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 57% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 43%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Aguilas Doradas 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 40%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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