Junior 3-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.45/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.11
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
16.5 Crosses 12.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
20.05.2024 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
26.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
26.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.05.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
01.12.2022 Junior Junior 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.34 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
255 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior saw off Deportivo Pereira 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 50%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Junior 3-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Junior 44%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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