Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
9%
7.52
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
11%
5.64
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +5%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.4 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.43 xG 0.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
10.02.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 6-0 HT 3-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.08.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
15.04.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
30.09.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
22.04.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.25 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
288 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom nicked a narrow win over Cracovia Krakow 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 52% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 48%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.25 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?

Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 45%, draw 29%, Radomiak Radom 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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