Lech Poznan vs Stal Mielec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Stal Mielec — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Stal Mielec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Stal Mielec
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
0-2
HT 0-1
Stal Mielec
POL
3-1
HT 2-1
Stal Mielec
POL
Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan saw off Stal Mielec 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 59% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 41%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 3.13 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.67 for Stal Mielec.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Stal Mielec?
Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Stal Mielec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 55%, draw 25%, Stal Mielec 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.