Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
6%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.93/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.75
-42% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +114%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
21.1 Crosses 17.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.58 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
275 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
01.03.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
08.02.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
07.09.2022 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.03 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
373 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh squeezed past Al Akhdoud 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 55% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 45%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.20 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 37%, draw 27%, Al Akhdoud 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riyadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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