Charlotte 3-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Mar 2026

Charlotte
3 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Austin
📅08/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.15
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.46
6+
5%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.75
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
10%
7.22
X/X
16%
4.65
2/1
3%
24.8
2/2
14%
5.37
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Charlotte The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.75
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Austin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
384 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.07.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
3 - 1
AWAY Austin
3.45 xG 0.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 3
564 Passes 176
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
64 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Charlotte vs Austin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Charlotte beat Austin 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: possession split 72% to 28% in Charlotte's favour, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 3.45 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Charlotte against 1.50 for Austin.

Charlotte vs Austin Result & Final Score

Charlotte 3 - 1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Charlotte vs Austin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 48%, draw 26%, Austin 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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