St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Louis City v Seattle Sounders — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Louis City 0-1 Seattle Sounders — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders shaded a tight game against St. Louis City 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in St. Louis City's favour, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.87 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for St. Louis City against 2.17 for Seattle Sounders.
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders Result & Final Score
St. Louis City 0 - 1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 30%, draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.