Philadelphia Union vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Philadelphia Union v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Philadelphia Union 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Philadelphia Union 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
A gentle 50% lean on Philadelphia Union didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Philadelphia Union had 49% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 51%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.98.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.17 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Philadelphia Union vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score
Philadelphia Union 0 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Philadelphia Union vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.