Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP2
2-0
HT 1-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
2-1
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
1-1
HT 1-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP2
Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Kyoto Sanga — Actual Match Statistics
Fagiano Okayama nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Kyoto Sanga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 46% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 54%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.17 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fagiano Okayama's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.67 for Kyoto Sanga.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 32%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) went the other way.