Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.48
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
13%
5.93
X/2
10%
4.96
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 19.1
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
20.11.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
26.06.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
04.11.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
29.07.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
08.09.2019 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-0 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
23.09.2015 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.16 xG 0.95
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
134 Passes 378
54% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama beat Kyoto Sanga 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Fagiano Okayama made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 33% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 67%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.16 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.83 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 35%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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