Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.87
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.38
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
21%
3.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.13
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
0.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.27
-29% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.2 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
214 Passes 340
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
22.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
26.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-3 HT 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.36 xG 1.40
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
255 Passes 648
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol edged past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kashiwa Reysol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 32% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 68%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.36 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 31%, draw 34%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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