Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.31
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
12%
6.92
X/2
11%
4.69
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.92
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.33/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.07
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.2 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 276
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 3-2 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-2 HT 2-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
11.06.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.08.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.03.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-0
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.20 xG 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 10
280 Passes 414
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare edged past Kashima Antlers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 42% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 58%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers?

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 33%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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