Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.09
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.37
X/2
11%
6.59
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
16%
4.24
2/X
10%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.75/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
+33% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.7 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
457 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
15.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 3-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
16.05.2018 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 2-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
04.04.2018 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.12 xG 1.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
414 Passes 336
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Albirex Niigata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 55% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 45%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.12 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.17 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 36%, draw 28%, Albirex Niigata 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
15 Feb 2025
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs FC Tokyo Analysis →
09:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
09:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →