Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.06
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
45%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.69
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.08 — our 45% vs market 41.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.37
1/2
5%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
13%
6.11
X/2
13%
6.1
X/X
8%
5.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.6
2/2
17%
3.37
2/X
7%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.80/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.01
+49% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.3 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
428 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 3-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
16.05.2018 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 2-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
04.04.2018 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
05.08.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Albirex Niigata played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 52% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 48%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.17 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 41%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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