Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
12%
7.32
X/X
15%
4.9
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.96
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.61/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.7 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.01 xG 0.82
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
563 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
06.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-4 HT 1-3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
09.04.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
09.07.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 HT 4-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
06.03.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
27.11.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-1 HT 2-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Gamba Osaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 64% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 36%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.00 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 38%, draw 30%, Gamba Osaka 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ BTTS Yes
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