UNAN Managua 2-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 8 Mar 2026

UNAN Managua
2-1 HT 2-0
Matagalpa
📅08/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UNAN Managua v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 46%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.46/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.94
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
03.08.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-2 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.04.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
29.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-1 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
02.10.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-3 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
06.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua edged past Matagalpa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Matagalpa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.33 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?

UNAN Managua 2-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 30%, draw 25%, Matagalpa 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matagalpa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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