Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.62/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.68
-62% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.1 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
492 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 2-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
24.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSRTK
10.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-1
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.17 xG 1.24
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
169 Passes 391
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 35% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 65%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.17 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.00 for Maccabi Haifa.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 40%, draw 25%, Maccabi Haifa 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →