Sheffield United 0-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.07
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
17%
3.83
X/2
12%
10.85
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
10%
9.86
2/X
6%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.71/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.46
-9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.9 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Millwall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 224
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.12.2024 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
18.02.2023 Millwall Millwall 3-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
07.01.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK
06.08.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.02.2022 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.10.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
0-1
AWAY Millwall
1.62 xG 0.54
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
421 Passes 181
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall nicked a narrow win over Sheffield United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 66% of the ball to Millwall's 34%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.62 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sheffield United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Millwall?

Sheffield United 0-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 47%, draw 26%, Millwall 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sheffield United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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