Watford 1-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.86
1/2
10%
33.0
1/X
12%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.14
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.42/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.99
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.0 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hull City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
20.04.2024 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
02.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
22.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
11.12.2022 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
22.04.2017 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-0
AWAY Hull City
0.64 xG 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
322 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Watford vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford nicked a narrow win over Hull City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Watford found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Watford had 46% of the ball to Hull City's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.64 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Watford and 0.83 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Watford vs Hull City?

Watford 1-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Watford 34%, draw 28%, Hull City 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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