Atletico Tucuman 3-2 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.93
X/2
9%
6.32
X/X
15%
3.57
2/1
11%
35.0
2/2
7%
5.17
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+7.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.06
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.6 Crosses 21.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 192
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
30.01.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.08.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
11.03.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
11.08.2015 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
09.03.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
3-2
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
2.03 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
177 Passes 246
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past Instituto Cordoba 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 44% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 56%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.03 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Instituto Cordoba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.17 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Atletico Tucuman 3-2 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 48%, draw 30%, Instituto Cordoba 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
8 Apr 2025
03:00 Atletico Tigre vs Newells Old Boys Analysis →