Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
17%
7.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
14%
4.57
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
17%
3.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
5.29
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.05
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.0 Crosses 20.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.49 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 193
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.08.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
11.03.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
11.08.2015 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
09.03.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-0
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.30 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
231 Passes 190
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past Instituto Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 53% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.30 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Instituto Cordoba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.40 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 37%, draw 30%, Instituto Cordoba 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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