Platense 0-2 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.26
Over 2.5
31%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.67
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
14%
9.52
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.15
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
12%
5.64
X/2
11%
4.75
X/X
18%
2.8
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.06
2/X
9%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
76%
-7.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
24%
+6.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.03/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.14
-5% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.2 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
201 Passes 386
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
13.06.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
11.12.2021 Platense Platense 3-2 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
0-2
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.48 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
176 Passes 249
59% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Platense vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield beat Platense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Platense had 47% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 53%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.48 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Platense had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Platense and 1.00 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?

Platense 0-2 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Platense 30%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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