Lanus 3-2 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
13%
7.36
X/X
18%
3.73
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
7%
6.35
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.9 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.42 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
31.10.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
12.03.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
31.03.2019 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
03.02.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
02.10.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
3-2
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.65 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
205 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus squeezed past Belgrano Cordoba 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 41% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 59%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.65 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lanus and 0.33 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Lanus 3-2 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lanus 42%, draw 32%, Belgrano Cordoba 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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