İzlanda (K) 3-3 İsviçre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-14.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+11.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İsviçre (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY İsviçre (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) AVKUL
22.07.2017 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda (K)
3-3
AWAY İsviçre (K)
1.75 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
294 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İzlanda (K) vs İsviçre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda (K) and İsviçre (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İzlanda (K) had 46% of the ball to İsviçre (K)'s 54%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İsviçre (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İzlanda (K) and 1.00 for İsviçre (K).

What was the final score of İzlanda (K) vs İsviçre (K)?

İzlanda (K) 3-3 İsviçre (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda (K) vs İsviçre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsviçre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İzlanda (K) 35%, draw 29%, İsviçre (K) 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İsviçre (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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