Avusturya (K) 1-3 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

Avusturya (K)
1-3 HT 1-1
Hollanda (K)
📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Karnten Unterliga – 2024/2025

Avusturya (K) vs Hollanda (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avusturya (K) v Hollanda (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+146% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Avusturya (K) vs Hollanda (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya (K)
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
0.67 xG 1.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 419
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2025 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) AVKUL
21.02.2023 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
17.02.2023 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ
19.10.2017 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
13.06.2017 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ

Avusturya (K) 1-3 Hollanda (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya (K)
1-3
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.63 xG 2.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
303 Passes 300
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avusturya (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) got the better of Avusturya (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hollanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Avusturya (K) had 51% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 49%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.63 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hollanda (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Avusturya (K) and 2.60 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of Avusturya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Avusturya (K) 1-3 Hollanda (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avusturya (K) 28%, draw 27%, Hollanda (K) 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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