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Belçika (K) vs İngiltere (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belçika (K) v İngiltere (K) — Team-Based Signals
Belçika (K) vs İngiltere (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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3-2
HT 2-2
İngiltere (K)
AVKUL
1-0
HT 1-0
Belçika (K)
AVKUL
6-1
HT 2-0
Belçika (K)
KACK
3-0
HT 0-0
Belçika (K)
HAZ
3-3
HT 2-2
İngiltere (K)
HAZ
Belçika (K) 3-2 İngiltere (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Belçika (K) squeezed past İngiltere (K) 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İngiltere (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Belçika (K) had 32% of the ball to İngiltere (K)'s 68%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 1.46 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured İngiltere (K).
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belçika (K) and 3.33 for İngiltere (K).
What was the final score of Belçika (K) vs İngiltere (K)?
Belçika (K) 3-2 İngiltere (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belçika (K) vs İngiltere (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Belçika (K) 21%, draw 17%, İngiltere (K) 61%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İngiltere (K)) went the other way.