Liechtenstein (K) 2-3 Lüksemburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
18%
8.78
Away OUR CALL
72%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
30%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Lüksemburg (K) win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
5%
+5.8pp
18%
Draw
8%
+10.3pp
72%
Away Win
88%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liechtenstein (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liechtenstein (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lüksemburg (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.02.2025 Lüksemburg (K) Lüksemburg (K) 7-0 HT 3-0 Liechtenstein (K) Liechtenstein (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liechtenstein (K)
2-3
AWAY Lüksemburg (K)
29% Ball Possession 71%
1 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
POST-MATCH Liechtenstein (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg (K) edged past Liechtenstein (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lüksemburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liechtenstein (K) had 29% of the ball to Lüksemburg (K)'s 71%, shots finished 1-1.

What was the final score of Liechtenstein (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Liechtenstein (K) 2-3 Lüksemburg (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liechtenstein (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lüksemburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Liechtenstein (K) 10%, draw 18%, Lüksemburg (K) 72%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lüksemburg (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lüksemburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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