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Malta (K) vs Gürcistan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malta (K) v Gürcistan (K) — Team-Based Signals
Malta (K) vs Gürcistan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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0-4
HT 0-2
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Malta (K)
ABK
2-1
HT 1-0
Gürcistan (K)
ABK
Malta (K) 2-1 Gürcistan (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Malta (K) edged past Gürcistan (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malta (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Malta (K) had 59% of the ball to Gürcistan (K)'s 41%, shots finished 7-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malta (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Malta (K) and 1.00 for Gürcistan (K).
What was the final score of Malta (K) vs Gürcistan (K)?
Malta (K) 2-1 Gürcistan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malta (K) vs Gürcistan (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malta (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Malta (K) 63%, draw 20%, Gürcistan (K) 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malta (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.