Türkiye (K) 0-1 Slovenya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+10.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
52%
-13.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Slovenya (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Slovenya (K) Slovenya (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) AVKUL
08.10.2019 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 1-6 HT 0-5 Slovenya (K) Slovenya (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye (K)
0-1
AWAY Slovenya (K)
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Türkiye (K) vs Slovenya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya (K) edged past Türkiye (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Slovenya (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Türkiye (K) had 42% of the ball to Slovenya (K)'s 58%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Slovenya (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Türkiye (K) and 4.50 for Slovenya (K).

What was the final score of Türkiye (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Türkiye (K) 0-1 Slovenya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovenya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Türkiye (K) 33%, draw 29%, Slovenya (K) 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovenya (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovenya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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