Al Hilal Omdurman 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.82
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.93
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
14%
6.86
X/2
13%
4.64
X/X
11%
3.45
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.26
2/X
14%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
224 Passes 383
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman CAFŞL
01.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
18.02.2023 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
03.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
18.02.2022 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
01.02.2020 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.67 xG 0.93
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
354 Passes 172
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Omdurman vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Al Hilal Omdurman 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Ahly found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Omdurman had 64% of the ball to Al Ahly's 36%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.67 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 1.00 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Omdurman vs Al Ahly?

Al Hilal Omdurman 0-1 Al Ahly in the CAF Champions League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Omdurman 34%, draw 31%, Al Ahly 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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