ES Tunis 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.8
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.05
X/1
11%
4.29
X/2
6%
7.73
X/X
10%
3.79
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
16%
6.86
2/X
10%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.27/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.26
+68% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.8 Crosses 9.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.60 xG 1.19
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
205 Passes 386
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis CAFŞL
26.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis AŞL
20.04.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
22.06.2017 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns CAFŞL
02.06.2017 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
0-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.71 xG 0.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
264 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and Mamelodi Sundowns fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, ES Tunis had 46% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 54%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for ES Tunis and 0.40 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

ES Tunis 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 48%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Tunis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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