Arka Gdynia 3-0 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.10/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.26
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
21.09.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
3-0
AWAY Warta Poznan
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia swept aside Warta Poznan 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 58% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 42%, shots finished 16-2.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznan?

Arka Gdynia 3-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 52%, draw 29%, Warta Poznan 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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