Warta Poznan 0-1 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Arka Gdynia
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia squeezed past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 51% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 49%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 26%, draw 25%, Arka Gdynia 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ BTTS No
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