Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.63
-24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +75%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg and Gornik Leczna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Leczna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 43% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 57%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Leczna?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 33%, draw 25%, Gornik Leczna 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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