Nieciecza 2-2 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
2.00/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.33
+33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.04.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-2 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
11.09.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
04.06.2021 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 3-2 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
05.12.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
2-2
AWAY Lodzki KS
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Lodzki KS shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 56% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 44%, shots finished 25-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Nieciecza and 1.50 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Lodzki KS?

Nieciecza 2-2 Lodzki KS in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 45%, draw 28%, Lodzki KS 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nieciecza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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